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Why can't earthquakes be predicted?

2023-02-07 17:46:44Kosova&Bota SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX
Why can't earthquakes be predicted?
Why can't earthquakes be predicted?

You may have come across people on social media who claim to have predicted the last earthquake or who are sure that another one will happen very soon.

It is worth remembering that despite the remarkable advances in the field of seismology, there is no scientific basis for earthquake predictions.

There is always a possibility of seismic shaking in places with active faults, such as the Turkey-Syria border, but predicting an earthquake with a high level of accuracy is extremely difficult, due to the difference in geology and other factors that are unique for each country.

Foreshocks, the release of a gas called radon and the behavior of frogs have been used by scientists to look for signals that indicate a major earthquake is about to occur, but success has been mixed.

Dr Dan Faulkner, lecturer in rock mechanics at the University of Liverpool, points out that some earthquakes have no warning signs: "Detailed scientific research has told us that each earthquake exhibits almost unique characteristics, preceded by foreshocks or small tremors, while others occur without warning, there are simply no rules to use to predict earthquakes," he says.


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