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The dismissal of two ministers, a sign of weakness or strength for Chinese leader Xi Jinping? The experts speak

2023-10-25 20:38:49Kosova&Bota SHKRUAR NGA ASSOCIATED PRESS
The dismissal of two ministers, a sign of weakness or strength for Chinese
Xi Jinping

The sacking of two Chinese foreign and defense ministers appears to strengthen leader Xi Jinping's aim for total control and obedience and the elimination of any potential rivals as leader of the Communist Party, analysts say.

Earlier this week, Chinese state media confirmed that former defense minister General Li Shangu and former foreign minister Qin Gang were "no longer in office," but gave no further details.

The lack of transparency in China's authoritarian one-party system has fueled speculation as to why the two officials left office.

Both were appointed under Mr Xi's leadership, meaning they must have been subject to strong scrutiny, but later faced suspicions over personal behavior and political alliances.

"You can see these changes both as evidence of Mr. Xi's weakness and as a sign of his strength. I lean towards his uncertainty," says June Teufel Dreyer, an expert on Chinese politics at the University of Miami in the United States.

Leader Xi is doing what he has never done before, sacking powerful officials he appointed himself, turning the entire Communist Party "into the Xi faction," says Steve Tsang, director of the China Institute at the University of London. .

Almost no information has been released on the fate of former ministers Li and Qin.

Former foreign minister Qin Gang was fired in July amid speculation he had breached an unwritten code of ethics often used to hide political infighting.

Li Shangu, who was named defense minister in a cabinet reshuffle in March and sent to visit Moscow to demonstrate China's support for Russia, has not been seen in public since a speech on August 29.

There is no indication that the departures of the two former ministers signal a change in China's foreign or defense policy, as Beijing aims to forge alliances in opposition to the liberal democratic order led by the United States and its allies.

Mr. Li's ouster is likely based on many factors, including an anti-corruption investigation in 2017, said Meia Nouwens, a China expert at the International Institute for Strategic Studies.

"It doesn't seem to be a good thing. They have been his close allies, newly appointed, and now it clearly appears that something has happened and it is not positive for him to take these drastic actions and dismiss him from office in what appears to have been a hasty decision," he says. she.

At the same time, some may see the move as a sign of Mr. Xi's strength, she says.

"It shows weakness in the inner circle, but clearly strength in the sense that he can take such action decisively if he decides to do so."

Mr. Xi is known to value loyalty above all else and has cracked down on corruption, sometimes in ways that have been seen as a way to eliminate political rivals and strengthen political positions amid a worsening economy and rising tensions over trade and technology. The United States, as well as tensions with Taiwan.

Mr. Li has been put under sanctions by the United States due to the purchase of Russian fighter jets, sanctions that do not allow him to visit the country.

Following the sanctions, China has cut ties with the US military, largely in protest over US arms sales to Taiwan and has suggested, not directly, that Washington should lift measures against Mr Li, which Beijing has refused to accept them publicly.

During this week, Chinese state television CCTV announced the appointment of new ministers of Finance, Science and Technology.

China's political and legal system continues to be non-transparent, prompting discussions on the possibility of corruption, personal weaknesses or clashes between officials and high-powered figures, which consequently causes them to be stripped of their positions.

China's ruling party is also trying to revive an economy that has been hit hard by strong "zero COVID" measures, an aging population, high unemployment among graduates and the shift of many wealthy and educated Chinese to more liberal societies abroad. country.

With his ideology, known as "Xi Jinping Thought," enshrined in the party constitution and the removal of presidential term limits, President Xi has structured the system in such a way that it can last as long as have life, in power.

The 70-year-old also heads the committees that oversee the People's Liberation Army, the world's largest military, with more than 2 million active members.


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