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The standoff in Hormuz increases the risk of a return to open war between the US and Iran

2026-05-05 21:52:02Kosova&Bota SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX

Tensions between the US and Iran are entering a dangerous new phase, as the clash over control of the Strait of Hormuz is becoming the key point of the crisis in the Persian Gulf.

According to an analysis by Jeremy Bowen, the ceasefire agreed four weeks ago is showing signs of weakening, while diplomatic efforts between the parties have stalled, increasing the risk of a return to full-scale war.

Recent talks between American and Iranian representatives in Islamabad produced no results, while Pakistan's mediation has not brought any visible progress.

At the center of the crisis remains the Strait of Hormuz, one of the most important maritime corridors for global oil and gas transportation. Until the end of February, passage was free, but after US and Israeli attacks on Iran, Tehran has used control over this area as a tool of strategic and economic pressure.

According to Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, there will be no return to the previous status quo, a statement that signals the continuation of tensions.

Meanwhile, Donald Trump has ordered the US Navy to escort commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz, a move aimed at guaranteeing freedom of navigation but which could provoke new reactions from Iran.

The crisis is also directly affecting the global economy, with rising energy prices and concerns about the supply of oil, gas and industrial raw materials. Experts warn that a prolonged blockade of Hormuz could also affect global food chains due to a shortage of chemical fertilizers.

Another flashpoint is the Port of Fujairah in the United Arab Emirates, which has become a strategic target for Iran. The port is vital to the Emirates' energy exports, as it allows them to bypass the Strait of Hormuz.

Against this backdrop, analysts warn that any new incident could trigger a spiral of military escalation, turning the region into another hotbed of war with global consequences.


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