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2026-10-11 16:42:00Kosova&Bota SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX

The escalation of Russian attacks on Ukraine and hybrid actions against European countries should push Europe to increase support for Kiev, rather than retreating in the face of Moscow's pressure.

This is the main argument of British historian and commentator Timothy Garton Ash, in an analysis published in The Guardian, where he warns that Russian President Vladimir Putin aims to weaken European unity to achieve his objectives in Ukraine.

According to Garton Ash, Russia can only be meaningfully deterred through sustained support for Ukraine, not simply by responding separately to hybrid attacks on European territory.

The author refers to German historian Martin Schulze Wessel, who places Putin's policy in the historical tradition of Russian expansionism and attempts at territorial domination.

In this context, Garton Ash argues that Europe is taking on an increasing responsibility for its security, especially after Donald Trump's return to the White House.

He notes that European countries, including Britain, have already provided more aid to Ukraine than the United States.

A central role is attributed to Germany, which, according to Kiel Institute data cited in the analysis, is the largest individual donor to Ukraine after the US.

Berlin has delivered 19 air defense systems, including five Patriot batteries. Meanwhile, German defense spending is projected to reach 154 billion euros by 2028.

Garton Ash sees Chancellor Friedrich Merz's support for Ukraine also in the historical context of German-Russian relations, arguing that democratic Germany is playing an important role in protecting Ukrainian sovereignty.

However, he warns of political risks in Europe. Growing support for the AfD in Germany, opposition to aid for Ukraine in France and Italy, and weakening solidarity in parts of the Polish right could make it difficult to maintain a common position.

Another challenge is financing. Experts cited by the author estimate that Ukraine may need up to 100 billion euros in additional support in 2027 alone.

The debate over the use of frozen Russian assets in Belgium also shows the difficulties of European countries in agreeing on sources of funding.

In conclusion, Garton Ash argues that Putin relies on the belief that European democracies will not be able to maintain the political and financial will to support Ukraine for a long time.

According to him, the decisive test for Europe will be the ability to maintain unity and support for Kiev, despite Russian pressure.


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