The center-right liberals under Rob Jetten have taken a shock lead in Dutch elections. The success, according to leading exit polls, comes just two years after his party fell to fifth place in the last election.
Jetten has run a formidable campaign in recent weeks, and the Ipsos I&O poll suggests his liberals D66 have taken 27 seats, 2 more than anti-Islam populist Geert Wilders who won the last election.
Although the final result is too close to be determined, Wilders accepted it. While Jetten told supporters that "millions of Dutch people have turned a page; they have said goodbye to a politics of negativity."
3 other parties are very close, including the Conservative Liberals, the left-wing Green-Labor party and the Christian Democrats.
Wilders led the polls throughout the election campaign, but after he left the governing coalition in June over a dispute over asylum and migration, all major leaders made it clear they did not want to work with him again.
Meanwhile, Jetten's party mounted a highly successful campaign, capitalizing on his stellar performances in televised debates. The fact that the 38-year-old liberal leader had appeared on a television program during the campaign raised his profile.
Dilan Yesilgoz's conservative Liberals are also heading for a successful third-place night and a possible spot in a future coalition led by Jetten.
Voters knew the outcome would be a close call, with five parties vying for the win. Wilders had won 37 seats in November 2023, but this time the electorate was clearly discouraged by the realization that he could not form another coalition.
The poll also delivered bad news for the Green Left-Labor party of former European Commissioner Frans Timmermans, which had long been second in the polls and is now poised to come in fourth.
“Better times are ahead,” he promised his supporters late Wednesday. “Of course I am extremely disappointed,” he added, and announced that he was resigning and taking responsibility for the outcome.
Timmermans and Wilders are both in their early 60s and entered politics at the same time. There is now a sense that Dutch voters are ready to try something new.
However, Wilders said he was not going anywhere: “You will not get rid of me until I am 80.” He was optimistic about his Freedom Party’s performance: “Of course, I would have preferred to have seen more countries… but we still had our second best result.”
The election was partly about migration and overcrowded asylum centres, but the biggest issue for voters was a chronic housing shortage of almost 400,000 homes in a population of 18 million. Jetten's party has said it will build 10 cities as part of its plan to tackle the crisis.