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What do Putin's threats of "lightning response" mean?

2022-05-01 16:07:08Kosova&Bota SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX
What do Putin's threats of "lightning response" mean?
Pictured: President Vladimir Putin

If you talk to Latvians these days, most do not rule out a potential Russian attack against their country. Latvia shares a common border with Russia, as well as a common Soviet past, which is clearly defined here as occupation. The Baltic states have been independent since the 1990s. And they want to remain independent. Especially these times. Since the Russian aggression against Ukraine many are alarmed, especially those who did not take seriously the warnings of the US secret services.

To many Putin's words at a meeting with senior officials in St. Petersburg sounded alarming. If anyone gets directly involved in the war, Putin threatened, the country will react quickly. "We have all the instruments for this," said the Kremlin chief, "and we will not brag about them. We will put them to use, if necessary. And I want everyone to know that. " Relevant decisions on this have been drafted in the meantime.


More than the sound of swords?

But which ones exactly? Independent Russian military expert Yuri Fyodorov does not rule out that Putin is referring to atomic weapons, because the threat was directed at countries that already have atomic weapons, first of all the United States and Great Britain. In an interview with DW, Fyodorov said: "Putin and his advisers are of the opinion that Ukraine can not defeat with known weapons. "The Kremlin sees atomic weapons as the last resort, the weapon that determines how war ends." But in addition to atomic weapons, the Russian president may have intended the Russian supersonic missile, the Zirkon, thinks Fyodorov, a missile that strikes targets at sea and in the NATO classification is called the SS-N-33. The Zirkon rocket flies fast, but not too far, 300-400 km. "However, Putin prefers this missile, and he is very proud."


The military expert doubts Zirkon's effectiveness. "High speed is important for destroying moving targets at sea, so as not to stray too far from the target point." But most of the targets on the ground are stationary, so speed does not play a big role there. "In addition, the rocket must reduce its speed by re-entering the dense atmosphere, otherwise it will burn."

Reaction after Ramstein

Për Andrej Kolesnikov nga ish-qendra Carnegie e Moskës (që duhej të mbyllej me urdhër të qeverisë në prill 2022) deklaratat e Putinit janë reagim pas takimit të nivelit të lartë të NATO-s në bazën amerikane,Ramstein në Gjermani. Sipas Kolesnikovit “gjithçka që ai thotë nuk ka karakter strategjik, por taktik, reaktiv dhe oportunist.” Putini mund t’i ndryshojë planet sipas gjendjes, vëren eksperti. “Nëse thuhet, se çdo gjë shkon sipas planit, nuk e di askush, se si është ky plan dhe çfarë qëllimesh ka.” Ndoshta Putini, nuk ka aspak qëllime fikse, por reagon sipas situatës. “E varet se çfarë ndodh në Perëndim dhe në front.”

Kolesnikov shikon pa dyshim tek Putini dikë “që është futur në një farë mase në një qorrsokak dhe po reagon gjithnjë e më brutalisht.” Edhe retorika e tij është bërë më brutale. “Ai nuk ka qenë ndonjëherë i gatshëm për dialog, por në situatën e tanishme, negociatat janë për të thjesht me karakter fakultativ. “Kurse eksperti rus për çështjet e politikës, Abas Galjamov nuk u jep shumë rëndësi fjalëve të Putinit dhe i quan ato propagandë e pastër.

He compares Putin to a tiger. "Everyone has understood that the tiger is made of paper. He has to tell everyone that this is not the case, but he can do nothing, so he is left with only the words that try to convince others that the Kremlin leader is still strong. Galjanov states: “We have the facts; "Russia has attacked, there are war crimes and a heroic defense of the Ukrainians." For Western politicians, these facts are crucial to their decisions, according to Galjanov, who does not believe that after Putin's threat, the West "will now move in a completely different direction."


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