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"We are entering uncharted territory," El Niño breaks 2015 record, Pacific temperatures reach extraordinary levels

2026-09-23 09:31:00Aktualitet SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX

"We are entering uncharted territory," El Niño breaks 2015

An extremely strong El Niño phenomenon is strengthening in the Pacific Ocean, while recent measurements show that temperatures in its central area have surpassed the record set in 2015.

According to data from the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the temperature increase has reached 3.05°C above the 1991–2020 average, surpassing the record of 3.02°C recorded at the end of November 2015.

The ONI indicator, based on sea surface temperatures in the Nino 3.4 area of ​​the Pacific, is also near the record levels recorded during the strong El Niño episode of 2015–2016.

According to an analysis by climatologist Zeke Hausfather, based on the average of 14 forecast models, temperatures could reach even higher levels during November and December.

These predictions have been described as "extraordinary" by Hausfather, while some experts have compared the potential intensity of the phenomenon to the most extreme El Niño episodes recorded in recent decades.

El Niño is considered present when sea surface temperatures in the relevant area of ​​the Pacific exceed a certain threshold. Values ​​above 2°C are usually associated with very strong episodes of the phenomenon.

A particularly strong El Niño could affect weather patterns in many parts of the world, bringing heat waves, droughts, wildfires, heavy rainfall and flooding, depending on the region. Experts also warn of potential consequences for agriculture, water supplies and food prices.

Strong El Niños in the past, including the 1997–1998 and 2015–2016 episodes, have been associated with major economic and humanitarian consequences in various countries. Scientists are also studying the impact of climate change on how these phenomena develop, as global warming could affect the intensity and consequences of future episodes.

Meanwhile, UN Secretary-General António Guterres has previously warned that the world is facing a period of increasing climate extremes.


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