2026-10-21 19:33:45Kosova&Bota SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX

The climate crisis is entering a critical phase, with the world having just four years to cut global greenhouse gas emissions by 18% by 2030 to increase the chances of limiting global warming. Without stronger action, global temperatures could rise by 2.8 degrees Celsius by the end of the century, according to a report by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP).

Extreme weather events, heat waves, floods and wildfires are among the consequences of the climate crisis, driven largely by emissions from burning fossil fuels. According to experts, exceeding the 1.5 degrees Celsius limit for global warming, set in the Paris Agreement, now seems almost inevitable. However, rapidly reducing emissions could help bring temperatures back below this level by the end of the century.

To this end, the UN calls for significant reductions in emissions: 18% by 2030, 45% by 2035 and 69% by 2040, compared to 2025 levels. One of the main measures is the gradual transition away from coal, oil and gas, as well as the expansion of the use of solar and wind energy.

According to UNEP, if countries take immediate and decisive action, global warming could peak at 1.7–1.8 degrees Celsius by mid-century, before decreasing to 1.5 degrees or less by 2100. However, stronger policies and international cooperation are needed to achieve this goal.

The report comes ahead of the UN climate conference, COP31, which begins on November 9 in Antalya, Turkey. Despite the importance of the issue, the transition away from fossil fuels is not explicitly mentioned in the top ten priorities of the conference agenda. Moreover, geopolitical tensions and the interests of the oil and gas industry continue to hinder progress towards clean energy.

Experts say pressure from oil and gas companies is also influencing scientific discussions about climate change. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump's stance against climate policies and the US withdrawal from the Paris Agreement have increased concerns about slowing the energy transition.

However, there are also positive signs. Data shows that global carbon dioxide emissions may have stabilized in recent years, while renewable energy is gaining ground. In 2025, for the first time, electricity generated from renewable sources surpassed that generated from coal.

Italy also faces challenges in meeting its climate targets. According to a report by research organization Ecco, the country's progress towards its 2030 targets has fallen to 15%, while greenhouse gas emissions in 2025 increased by 9 million tons of CO₂ equivalent compared to 2024. To achieve the targets, Italy needs to accelerate the use of renewable energy and reduce emissions in transport and buildings.

However, data from the Italian Higher Institute for Environmental Protection and Research (ISPRA) predicts that greenhouse gas emissions in 2026 will fall by 1.5% compared to last year, while the economy is expected to grow by 0.8%. This decrease is mainly related to the reduction in coal consumption in industry and the increasing contribution of renewable sources, which cover more than 42% of electricity demand.

In addition to reducing emissions, environmental organizations are also calling for measures to reduce inequalities. According to Greenpeace, the emissions of the richest 1% of people in Italy are around 160 times higher than those of the poorest half of the population. For this reason, the organization is calling for a fairer fiscal system, where companies and individuals with large fortunes, especially those who profit from fossil fuels, contribute more to tackling the climate crisis.

Experts say time to act is running out. Although exceeding the 1.5-degree limit seems inevitable, rapidly reducing emissions could limit the worst effects of global warming and create the opportunity to return temperatures to safer levels by the end of the century.


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