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Signals for the end of the war, rising stock markets and falling oil prices

2026-04-01 21:03:27Kosova&Bota SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX
Signals for the end of the war, rising stock markets and falling oil prices
Signals for the end of the war, rising stock markets and falling oil prices

On April 1, financial markets reacted with optimism to signals of a possible end to the conflict in the Middle East.

European indices ended strongly higher, with Milan's Piazza Affari up +3.17% to 45,714.95 points. In Germany, the Dax rose +3.01% to 23,313.85 points, in France the Cac 40 up +2.10% to 7,981.27 points and in London the FTSE 100 up +1.87% to 10,366.55 points. US markets welcomed the latest developments with optimism, with the Dow Jones up +0.6%.

A key factor in the euphoria of the markets was the drastic fall in oil prices. Brent fell by -14.2%, to $101.5 per barrel, while WTI by -2.1% to $99.2 per barrel. The reason was the expectations of the end of the war and the statements of US President Donald Trump, who warned that the war against Iran will end within “two or three weeks, regardless of whether there is a deal”. He also stressed that in order to stop hostilities, the Strait of Hormuz must be “open, free and clear”.

Also, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer will organize meetings with 35 countries this week to create a coalition that will make this sea route safe after the end of the conflicts, without necessarily being a NATO mission and including countries outside the alliance.

On the macroeconomic front, the US PMI index in March reached 52.3 points, up from 51.6 in February and slightly below the previously forecast 52.4 points. The price of natural gas in Amsterdam (TTF) fell by 6%, to 47.7 euros per MWh, while the price of gold increased by 2.3% to 4,777 dollars per ounce. In the currency market, the euro/dollar was 1.1608, the euro/yen 184.1 and the dollar/yen 158.6.

In Italy, the government is considering cutting fuel excise duties by April 30, seeking around €500-600 million to achieve a reduction of 24.4 cents per liter. Minister Tommaso Foti confirmed that the decision will be made within the week, with the possibility of approval at a meeting of the Council of Ministers on April 3, before Easter.

Meanwhile, markets remained bullish, with investors looking for more information from Trump's speech on the evening of April 1 (9:00 p.m. local time) on the end of the conflict and prospects for a deal with Iran. Oil prices remained under pressure as concerns about supply due to the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz persisted. The dollar weakened slightly, reflecting expectations of an end to the conflicts and a calmer climate in global markets.

In terms of employment, the Italian ISTAT reported for February 2026 a decrease of 29 thousand employees from the previous month, but an increase of 13 thousand compared to the previous year. The labor market showed a decrease in employment for permanent employees and those with temporary contracts. The unemployment rate reached 5.3%, while that for young people fell to 17.6%./ Corriere della Sera


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