According to forecasts, this year, after more than half a century, more people will leave Sweden than will come.
According to the government in Stockholm, the number of immigrants in Sweden is currently higher than migrants. This is shown by the data of the National Institute of Statistics, the Swedish Minister for Migration, Marija Malmer Stenergard, said on Thursday.
In the period January-May this year, 5,700 more people left Sweden than arrived. That trend is expected to continue, Stenergard said. She also added that the number of asylum applications is at its lowest level since 1997.
The trend of decreasing the number of asylum requests is not new. In 2016, a significant decrease in the number of submitted requests was recorded, to around 22,000. Last year this number was over 156,000 – which is a lot for a country with just over ten million inhabitants.
Drastic course change in 2016
A significantly lower number of requests is related to the change of course of the then Swedish government. Sweden previously had a fairly liberal policy towards migration and integration, welcoming large numbers of people from crisis countries such as the former Yugoslavia, Afghanistan, Syria, Iraq and Somalia. But at the end of 2015, the then social democratic government significantly changed the migration policy.
Since October 2022, a minority government led by Prime Minister Ulf Kristerson has been in power, consisting of moderates, Christian Democrats and liberals, with the support of the right-wing nationalist Sweden Democrats.
"Given the huge problems with registering, housing and providing assistance to the ever-increasing number of asylum seekers then arriving in the country," Sweden then introduced various measures, writes Bernd Parusel for Germany's Federal Center for Political Education.
These measures, he says, first involved entering Swedish territory to submit an asylum application. Secondly, they were related to the granting of protection and its legal consequences. Third, voluntary return should be encouraged and deportations of rejected asylum seekers carried out, says Parusel.
Tighter measures but better integration?
In a press release, the Swedish government stated that more and more people, born in Iraq, Somalia or Syria, are leaving Sweden again. What exactly is the share of voluntary returnees in the current immigration figures remains unclear. But Stenergard believes that the current number of immigrants and immigrants is the result of a more restrictive immigration policy in recent years: "The government's efforts are paying off." The motivation for emigration from Sweden, however, remains unclear. There have been clear tendencies to "make life more difficult for asylum seekers who have been ordered to leave".
But Stenergard stated: "The trend towards manageable migration is essential if we want to improve integration." At first glance, it seems logical that successful integration is easier when fewer immigrants arrive.
However, according to migration expert Parusel, trying to make Sweden as unattractive as possible for migrants on the one hand while promoting initiatives for better integration on the other does not work.
Criminal gangs continue to operate
Overall, it can be said that Sweden has effectively limited migration in recent years. However, one of the indicators that this does not solve all problems is the continued criminal activity of gangs. The fight against these gangs is one of the main goals of the current conservative Prime Minister Ulf Kristerson - he directly linked this phenomenon to the "irresponsible immigration policy and failed integration" of the previous government.
The country has been dealing with criminal gangs for years, which are mainly financed by drug trafficking and fraud. Gang conflicts often lead to deadly shootings and attacks with explosive devices. Innocent people are often the victims of these attacks. This type of crime most often occurs in the poorest neighborhoods and suburbs, where people from migrant backgrounds live. According to experts, this is mainly related to the high rate of unemployment, lack of perspective and poverty. / DW