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How much could Trump's "economic D-Day" hurt Iran?

2026-08-22 08:04:11Kosova&Bota SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX

How much could Trump's "economic D-Day" hurt Iran?

US President Donald Trump has warned of a new wave of economic pressure on Iran, which he has called "economic D-Day." The move aims to hit not only Iran, but also any country or company that continues to do business with Tehran.

The threat comes at a time when the US-Iran conflict appears deadlocked. Nearly six months after Trump's promises of a quick victory, a military solution or negotiated agreement still appears far from imminent.

Details of the new campaign have not yet been made public. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is expected to explain the measures on August 24. He has warned that Washington could take action against any country it sees as providing Iran with an economic outlet.

"Anyone who continues to do business with Iran, transfer money, buy Iranian oil or conduct maritime transport with it will face the full power of the Treasury and the US government," Bessent declared.

Vice President JD Vance has described economic pressure as a new phase of the conflict and as the most effective means to achieve American objectives.

Iran is used to sanctions.
Tehran has faced US sanctions for decades. The pressure increased significantly after the first Trump administration withdrew from the 2015 nuclear deal and reimposed broad sanctions on Iran.

In the current conflict, the US has already undertaken a campaign called "Economic Fury", which combines financial sanctions with a naval blockade of Iranian ports.

However, experts warn that Iran has developed mechanisms to evade restrictions. According to them, Tehran uses secret ships to transport oil, intermediary companies and constantly changing trading networks.

Experts say that every time one channel is closed, Iran tries to create another.

The US can also strike allies

The most important point of the new American strategy is that the pressure can extend beyond Iran.

Washington could impose sanctions on financial institutions and companies in third countries that help Iran sell oil, transfer money or bypass the US financial system.

The target could also include countries that have important relations with the US, such as Turkey and Iraq, while China poses an even greater challenge.

Experts estimate that the success of this campaign will depend largely on the willingness of these countries to comply with American demands. For many financial institutions, the threat of losing access to the US dollar could be very costly.

But it is unclear whether China and other states will agree to follow Washington's policy toward Iran.

Can sanctions work?
Sanctions could further burden the Iranian economy, limit oil revenues and make it harder for Tehran to access the international financial system.

But the problem for the Trump administration is that Iran already lives under a very harsh sanctions regime and has learned to adapt to them.

Experts quoted by the BBC warn that the new measures could expand the "economic reach" of sanctions, but it is not certain that they will force Iran to change course.

According to Imran Bayoumi, a geostrategy expert at the Atlantic Council, the new announcement seems more like a sign of US frustration after other means have not yielded the desired result.

The main question, according to him, remains what the Trump administration really aims to achieve in Iran.

If China, Turkey, Iraq and other countries continue to trade with Tehran, Iran's ability to evade sanctions could remain significant.

For this reason, “Economic D-Day” could inflict further economic damage on Iran, but without a broader political and diplomatic strategy, it is not clear whether the new pressure will be enough to change Tehran’s behavior.


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