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The missile that hit Poland highlights shortcomings in NATO's air defenses

2022-11-16 23:15:21Kosova&Bota SHKRUAR NGA REUTERS
The missile that hit Poland highlights shortcomings in NATO's air defenses
Polish soldiers putting up iron fences on the Polish border near the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad

Poland had begun strengthening its air defenses long before a missile landed within its border on Tuesday, but building a strong air shield along NATO's eastern flank is far from being achieved after decades of post-Cold War neglect. .

"The missile that hit Poland appears to have been launched by Ukrainian forces and not by Russia," NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said.

Megjithatë, pavarësisht se gabime teknike mund të ndodhin në çdo konflikt, incidenti dëshmon nevojën urgjente me të cilën përballet NATO-ja për të mbyllur hendeqet në mbrojtjen e saj sepse edhe gabime si ky mund të çojnë në një përshkallëzim të rrezikshëm.

"Ishte vetëm një çështje kohe që të ndodhte një aksident i tillë", i tha agjencisë Reuters një ekspert i mbrojtjes ajrore nga një vend i NATO-s, duke folur në kushte anonimiteti. “Mund edhe të kishte qenë një raketë ruse në një drejtim të gabuar, për shkak të një gabimi teknik ose njerëzor”.

“Ndërsa disa raketa ajrore të prodhuara në Perëndim vetëshkatërrohen nëse nuk arrijnë të godasin objektivin, raketat e vjetra sovjetike nuk e kanë një mekanizëm të tillë”, tha eksperti.

"If they miss the target, they continue flying until they crash," he said, adding that "old missiles have a higher chance of error."

Raytheon's RTX.N Patriot air defense systems are built to intercept incoming missiles.

But after the Cold War, many NATO member states reduced the number of these air defense units, reflecting the belief that they would continue to be little threatened by missile launches, mainly from countries like Iran.

This perception changed radically after the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which forced NATO member countries to increase ammunition stocks and address deficiencies in the air defense system.

Germany had 36 Patriot air defense systems when it was on the front lines during the Cold War even though it had NATO support. Today, German forces number only 12, two of which are stationed in Slovakia.

"It has been a real shield of air defense systems and this is what people have in mind when they talk about the defense of NATO's eastern flank," said the military expert. "But we are far from such a scenario."

Realizing the need to fill this gap, NATO allies led by Germany in October opened the way for the initiative to jointly purchase air defense systems.

The initiative comes as Ukraine, which is facing heavy attacks from Russia, is in desperate need of air defense units, exacerbating shortages in Western countries that are sending some of their systems to Kiev.

Poland, which along with the three Baltic states is building NATO's new eastern border, has invested for years in strengthening its air defense capabilities, which still rely in part on Soviet-era systems such as missile defenses. air OSA and Kub.

"In the next decade, Poland must have a state-of-the-art air defense system," Marek Swierczynski, a defense analyst, told Polityka Insight.

However, implementation of these systems is slow and may take years to become fully operational.

"Poland has received additional support from Washington in recent months, but systems such as the Patriot fire units stationed in Rzeszow are not sufficiently reactive and wide-ranging to monitor any defensive gaps on the eastern flank. This is the paradox: no matter how much is spent on such an air defense system, you cannot build something that is 100% impenetrable, so there is always the possibility that such a situation will arise," said Mr. Swierczynski.


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