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Former CIA chief and 'missile math': Iran has less than 1,000 left, Israeli and American ones will last much longer

2025-06-18 16:00:40Kosova&Bota SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX
Iranian missiles over Tel Aviv

Interview with the former head of the CIA and Centcom, the US central command for the Middle East: "I worked on the plan to hit the nuclear plants in Tehran, then they signed the deal with Obama. Now Trump's ultimatum makes sense"

David Petraeus was the head of Centcom, the United States Central Command for the Middle East, between 2008 and 2010, when the United States drafted the plan to destroy Iran's nuclear program, in an interview with Corriere della Sera saying that "it is known that we tested that plan within the continental territory of the United States. And we understood what type of munitions we had to use to achieve the desired effect on the different targets that made up the Iranian nuclear program."

The Americans were quite confident that they could implement the plan, but in the end Iran at that time agreed to sign the nuclear agreement with the West.

General Petraeus, who also served as CIA chief while Donald Trump was in the Situation Room, said it made sense for the president to "amplify his ultimatum" and give Iran "one last chance: completely abandon its nuclear program by giving it full access to inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency, or we will eliminate the site at Fordow."

Interview:

How long can Iran and Israel continue this exhausting war? How many missiles does Iran have and how many missile defense reserves does Israel have?

"Missile math is one of the biggest questions right now. How many missiles and missile systems does Iran have left? And how many interceptors does it have for Israel's David's Sling and Arrow anti-missile system, as well as for the American systems on destroyers in the region and for the Thaad system on the ground in Israel?"

“It appears that Iran has lost a third to a half of its missile systems and has less than a thousand missiles left. Its bursts are smaller with each launch and it loses missile systems every day, but with 5-10% of its missiles hitting targets in Israel, this is clearly still a significant threat. However, my feeling is that, especially given the additional US naval assets coming to the region, Israeli and US interceptors will survive Iranian missiles…”

Not only do the Americans have the only bomb capable of penetrating the Fordow enrichment site, which is dug deep into a mountain, but you also have the only planes that can carry it.

"The 13-ton American Massive Ordinance Enemitter (MOP) ship. Only the United States has the MOP and only the United States has the B-2 bombers that can carry and use that weapon."

Israel says Iran was now very close to a nuclear weapon, but it seems that US intelligence had different information. Is there also some kind of internal intelligence war in the United States on this issue, as has often happened before major wars, including the invasion of Iraq?

“No, I think it matters how the question is asked, and that is often underestimated. The point is that there is widespread recognition – based on information publicly released by the IAEA – that Iran is making progress toward the capability to produce nuclear weapons by steadily increasing the amount of highly enriched uranium in its possession, and that it currently has enough to produce nine bombs.

Further enriching highly enriched uranium to a weapons-grade level would take a relatively short time, and Iran has developed the capability to do so. So Iran is much closer to the potential to enrich uranium to a weapons-grade level and then build a nuclear device than it has ever been before.”


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