Fires around the world are set to reach record levels this year, fueled by climate change and the return of the El Niño phenomenon, researchers have warned. The global fire season has started with record intensity and is expected to worsen in the coming months, they said.
Theodore Kipping from Imperial College London stated during a presentation to the media that since the beginning of the year, about 50% more burned areas have been recorded compared to the average of previous years for the same period.
According to data from the Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), the total area burned as of May 6 has reached 1.63 billion hectares, while the average for the period 2012-2025 was about 1.1 billion hectares. Researchers point out that this level is about 20% higher than the previous record since global monitoring began in 2012.
The situation is particularly alarming in Africa, where many countries in West Africa and the Sahel region are facing record levels of fires. Experts explain that the alternation of intense rainfall with long periods of drought has favored the spread of fires in the savannah.
Scientists are also warning of the return of the El Niño phenomenon, a natural cycle in the Pacific Ocean that affects global temperatures and climate. According to the World Meteorological Organization, the likelihood of the return of El Niño from May to July is increasingly high, while the La Niña phenomenon is weakening.
Kipping points out that if a strong El Niño develops, the potential for extreme and highly dangerous fires could be the highest in decades.
According to him, the phenomenon could create extremely hot and dry conditions in Australia, the northwestern United States and Canada, as well as in the Amazon rainforest.
Even researcher Frederick Otto from Imperial College London warns that the combination of El Niño with climate change caused by human activity could bring unprecedented extreme weather events around the world.