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2026-09-29 15:27:13Kosova&Bota SHKRUAR NGA REDAKSIA VOX
Benjamin Netanyahu

Why would Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu spend a precious day of campaigning, just 30 days before an election that could determine his political fate, on a secret visit to Abu Dhabi?

According to the Israeli newspaper Haaretz, part of the answer may lie in the revelation of numerous warnings that Israel had received before the Hamas attack on October 7.

Following its latest investigation, according to which the President of the United Arab Emirates, Mohammed bin Zayed, had warned Netanyahu about ten days before October 7 that Hamas was preparing a major operation against Israel, the New York Times confirmed the report, citing a source informed of the conversation with the Emirati leader.

Meanwhile, The Atlantic and The Wall Street Journal reported that Egypt had also sent similar warnings. The head of the Egyptian intelligence service, Abbas Kamel, had traveled to Israel on September 26, 2023, to convey concern about the situation in Gaza and the risk that it would “explode in everyone’s face.”

According to Haaretz, these warnings are taking on new weight in the election campaign, as Netanyahu's refusal to accept responsibility for the failures that preceded the Hamas attack and his efforts to obstruct an independent investigation have become one of the main topics of political debate.

For this reason, the secret meeting in Abu Dhabi has provoked strong reactions, especially from the opposition. Some reports suggest that Netanyahu may have asked Mohammed bin Zayed to deny the warnings given before October 7 and offer political support.

But the Emirati leader did not publicly support this version. But there is another explanation for Netanyahu's visit, and it is directly related to his electoral calculations.

If the prime minister cannot change the narrative around October 7, he may try to replace it with another national crisis: the resumption of war with Iran.

According to Haaretz, this scenario could have a foothold in Abu Dhabi, where the Emirates are frustrated by the standoff with Tehran and by Donald Trump's unpredictable policies.

The US president has threatened to escalate the confrontation with Iran after the midterm elections, but this is too late for Netanyahu, who is aiming for the October 27 elections.

Therefore, the Israeli prime minister is trying to change the political narrative around himself, shifting attention from the failures of October 7th to another national confrontation: Iran.

But polls conducted during the war with Iran have not significantly changed Netanyahu's electoral support. Despite alliances with far-right parties and the intensive use of political propaganda, his coalition has failed to secure a governing majority in the polls.

For Haaretz, this makes the visit to Abu Dhabi more than an attempt to manage the political damage of October 7. It could be part of a broader plan: preparing for a national emergency scenario that would suspend the campaign and, potentially, the election.

Ultimately, the question is whether Mohammed bin Zayed, who has so far refused to support versions that relativize the warnings before October 7, will be involved in a project with major political consequences for Netanyahu.

The secret visit to Abu Dhabi may have been simply an attempt at damage control, but in the background lies another possibility: changing the political terrain itself, before Israelis go to the ballot boxes.


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