In the last 10 years, North Macedonia has been facing a population decline, but not in all communities. Albanians have recorded positive figures in terms of births and deaths, while Macedonians have recorded a negative natural increase of about 4,100 fewer people. Specialists emphasize that policies need to be changed and that young couples should have support for starting families.
At the state level, 16,061 births and 20,201 deaths were registered, resulting in a negative natural increase. However, the breakdown by ethnicity reveals a deep difference between the main communities.
Macedonian population: 6,841 births, 14,760 deaths, balance –7,919
Albanian population: 5,473 births, 3,309 deaths, balance +2,164
Among Macedonians, for every 100 births there were about 216 deaths, a clear indicator of the aging population and the continuous decline in fertility. While among Albanians, for every 100 births there were about 60 deaths, which maintained a positive natural balance even in conditions of emigration.
Balance by municipality
Skopje (total): –17 (Macedonians –1,395, Albanians +1,287)
Karposh: –244 (Macedonians –242, Albanians +1)
Kisela Voda: –258 (Macedonians –253, Albanians 0)
Manastir: –459 (Macedonians –774, Albanians –15)
Chair: +351 (Macedonian –100, Albanian +427)
Saraj: +332 (Macedonian +3, Albanian +329)
Studeničani: +137 (Macedonian +1, Albanian +84)
Haraçinë: +138 (Macedonian +2, Albanian +133)
Analysts estimate that demographic change will directly impact the education structure, labor market, and pension system, as well as the country's political and economic balances in the coming decades.
In the past, North Macedonia has had population growth policies, such as monthly payments for the third and fourth child, which have not shown significant success. Recently, a renewed focus on new policies has been announced, including housing subsidies for young couples, with the aim of addressing the reasons why young people are marrying less often and starting families later.
Even, controversially and to test public opinion, Prime Minister Hristijan Mickoski had declared that single people would pay taxes, a statement that was met with harsh reactions in the public.